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1 «Контуры мирового будущего. Доклад по «Проекту-2020» Национального разведывательного совета США. Вашингтон, Декабрь 2004, с. 4
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2 «Контуры грядущего будущего». Доклад к «Проекту-2020» Национального разведывательного Совета США. Вашингтон, Декабрь 2004, с. 71.
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3 Fukuyama F. The Troubles with Names («Foreign Policy». Summer 2000. P. 60).
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4 Wright R. Pax Kapital («Foreign Policy». Summer 2000. P. 67).
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5 Cardoso F. An Age of Citizenship («Foreign Policy». Summer 2000. P. 42).
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6 Creveld van M. The New Middle Ages («Foreign Policy». Summer 2000. P. 39).
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7 Sorrel M. Branding the New Era («Foreign Policy». Summer 2000. P. 61–61).
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8 Soros G. The Age of Open Society («Foreign Policy». Summer 2000. P. 53).
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9 Bertram Ch. Interregnum («Foreign Policy». Summer 2000. P. 45).
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10 Цит. по: International Studies Review. Summer 1999. P. 115.
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11 Heisburg F. American Hegemony? Perceptions of the US Abroad («Survival», Winter 1999–2000, p. 16).
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12 The World in 2000. The Economist Publications. London, 2000, p. 86.
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13 «International Studies Quarterly», March 1994, p. 13.
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14 Rielly J. (ed.) American Public Opinion and U.S. Foreign Policy, 1995, Chicago: Council on Foreign Relations, 1995, p. 24–25.
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15 «Survival», Winter 1999–2000, p. 112.
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16 OECD, Science, Technology, and Industry: Scoreboard of Indicators 1997. Paris, OECD, 1997; «New York Times», May 11, 1999, p.Cl.
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17 «International Security», Summer 1999, p. 17 (note).
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18 Zakaria Fareed. The Challenges of American Hegemony («International Journal», Winter 1998-9, p. 13).
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19 Waltz K. Globalization and American Power («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 54).
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20 Kagan R. and Kristol W. The Present Danger («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 63).
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21 Renwick N. America's Word Identity. The Politics of Exclusion. New York: St. Martin's Press, 2000, p. 96.
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22 Kegley Ch., Wittkopf E. American Foreign Policy. New York, 1996, p. 146.
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23 Lieber K. and Press D. The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy («Foreifn Affairs», March/April 2006, p. 27).
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24 «International Security», Spring 2006 ("The End of MAD? The Nuclear Dimention of U.S. Primacy").
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25 Renwick N. America's Word Identity. The Politics of Exclusion. New York: St.Martin's Press, 2000, p. 96.
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26 Kagan R. and Kristol W. The Present Danger («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 63).
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27 Wohlforth W. The Stability of a Unipolar World («International Security», Summer 1999, p. 18).
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28 «The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 53.
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29 Bacevich A. Policing Utopia. The Military Imperatives of Globalization («National Interest», Summer 1999, p. 5).
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30 Контуры мирового будущего. Доклад по «Проекту-2020» Национального разведывательного Совета США, с. 13.
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31 Wallerstein I. Geopolitics and Geoculture: Essays on the Changing World-System. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1991, 193.
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32 Baruah S. Globalization — Facing the Inevitable? («World Policy Journal», Winter 1999/2000, p. 108).
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33 Modelski G., Tompson W. The Long and Short of Global Politics in the Twenty-first Century: An Evolutionary Approach («International Studies Review». Summer 1999, p. 137).
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34 «Foreign Affairs», May/June 2000, p. 121.
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35 Barber B. Jihad vs Mc World: How the Planet is both Falling Apart and Coming together and What this Means for Democracy. N.Y, 1995, p. 299–301.
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36 Renwick N. America's Word Identity. The Politics of Exclusion. New York: St.-Martin's Press, 2000, p. 64.
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37 Huntington S. The Erosion of American National Interests («Foreign Affairs», Sept.-Oct. 1997).
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38 Rieff D. A Second American Century? The Paradoxes of Power («World Policy Journal», Winter 1999/2000, p. 7).
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39 McRae H. The World in 2020. Power, Culture and Prosperity. Boston, 1994, p. 268.
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40 Bell С American Ascendancy. And the Pretense of Concert («The National Interest», Fall 1999, p. 59).
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41 U.S. Department of Commerce, Office ofTechnology Policy. The New Innovators: Global Patenting Trends in Five Sectors. Washington, 1998.
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42 Typoy Л. Будущее капитализма. Новосибирск, 1999, с. 195.
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43 Chace J. and Rizopulos N. Toward a New Concert of Nations. An American Perspective («World Policy Journal», Fall 1999, p. 2).
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44 Kennedy P. The Next American Century? («World Policy Journal», Spring 1999, p. 57).
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45 Pfaff W. The Coming Clash of Europe with America («World Policy Journal», Winter 1998/99, p. 6).
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46 Kagan R. and Kristol W. The Present Danger («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 69).
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47 Ikenberry J. America's Liberal Hegemony («Current history», January 1999, p. 26).
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48 Cutter В., Spero J., Tyson L. New World, New Deal. A Democratic approach to Globalization («Foreign Affairs», March/april 2000, p. 81).
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49 Kupchan Ch. Life after Pax Americana («World Policy Journal», Fall 1999, p. 21).
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50 Haass R. The Reluctant Sheriff. The United States After the Cold War. N.Y., 1997, p. 2.
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51 Haas R. What to Do With American Primacy («Foreign Affairs», September/October 1999, p. 37).
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52 Rcnwick N. America's Word Identity. The Politics of Exclusion. New York: St.Martin's Press, 2000, p. 64.
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53 Kagan R. and Kristol W. The Present Danger («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 67).
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54 Brands H. W. What America Owes the World: The Struggle for the Soul ofForeign Policy. Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge University Press, 1998, p. VII.
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55 Santis De H. Mutualism. An American Strategy for the Next Century («World Policy Journal», Winter 1998/99, p. 43).
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56 Santis De H. Mutualism. An American Strategy for the Next Century («World Policy Journal», Winter 1998/99, p. 42).
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57 Zuckerman M. A Second American Century («Foreign Affairs», May-June 1998, p. 18–31).
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58 Santis De H. Mutualism. An American Strategy for the Next Century («World Policy Journal», Winter 1998/99, p. 42).
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59 Zuckerman M. A Second American Century («Foreign Affairs», May/ June 1998, p. 31).
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6 °Cutter В., Spero J., Tyson L. New World, New Deal. A Democratic approach to Globalization («Foreign" Affairs», March/april 2000, p. 80).
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61 Rice С Promoting the National Interest («Foreign Affairs», Jan/Feb. 2000, p. 46).
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62 Krauthammer Ch. The Unipolar Moment. («Foreign Affairs», Summer 1991,p.23–24).
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63 Santis De H. Mutualism. An American Strategy for the Next Century («World Policy Journal», Winter 1998/99, p. 42).
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64 Mallaby S. The Reluctant Imperialist ("Foreign Affairs", March/April 2002, p. 2–7).
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65 «New York Times», September 19, 2001.
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66 Mallaby S. The Reluctant Imperialist ("Foreign Affairs", March/April 2002, p.6).
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67 «New York Times», March 8, 1992, p. A14.
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68 «The National Interest», Spring 1999, p. 5.
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69 «New York Times», October 12, 2000.
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70 «New York Times", June 2, 2002.
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71 «Nouvel observateur», 16 mars, 2002, p. 12
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72 Kissinger H. Diplomacy. New York: Touchstone, 1994, p. 21.
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73 Joffe J. How America Does It («Foreign Affairs», 1997, N 5, p. 13–27).
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74 Lewis F. The 7 1/2 Directorate («Foreign Policy», 1991, N 2, p. 34–35).
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75 Kegley С And Raymond G. A Multipolar Peace? Great Powers Politics in the 21st Century. N.Y., 1994, p. 195–196.
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76 Ashley R. Living on Border Lines. (In: Der Derian J., Shapiro M. — eds. International/Intertextual Relations. Lexington: Lexington Books, 1989, p. 264–265).
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77 Pfaff W. The Coming Clash of Europe with America («World Policy Journal», Winter 1998/99, p. 5).
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78 Maynes Ch. Pax Americana: The Impossible Dream («Foreign Service Journal», March 2000, p. 23).
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79 Maynes Ch. Pax Americana: The Impossible Dream («Foreign Service Journal», March 2000, p. 24).
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80 Parker J. Two new presidents (In: The World in 2000. The Economist Publication. London, 1999, p. 14).
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81 «World Policy Journal», Winter 1999/2000, p. 113.
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82 Cuthbertson I. Chaising the Chimera. Securing the Peace. («World Policy Journal/), Summer 1999, p. 74).
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83 Rosenau J. Along the Domestic-Foreign Frontier: Exploring Governance in a Turbulent World. Cambridge, 1997, p. 115.
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84 Steinberg R. Reconciling Transatlanticism and Multilateralism (In: Burwell F., Daalder 1. -eds. The United States and Europe in the Global Arena. London: Macmillan Press, 1999, p. 224).
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85 Fukuyama F. The End of History and the Last Man. N.Y., 1992.
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86 Santis De H. Mutualism. An American Strategy for the Next Century («World Policy Journal», Winter 1998/99, p. 45).
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87 Friedman Th. The World is Flat. A Brief History of the Twenty-first Century. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2006. p. 38.
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88 Renwick N. America's Word Identity. The Politics of Exclusion. New York: St.Martin's Press, 2000, p. 82.
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89 Kaplan L. Meanwhile on the Left («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 154).
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90 Waltz K. Globalization and American Power («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 49).
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91 Held D. e.a. Global Transformations. Politics, Economics and Culture. Cambridge: Polity Press, 2000, p. 4.
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92 Giddens A. Modernity and Self-identity. Cambridge: Polity Press, 1991; Robertson R. Globalization: Social Theory and Global Culture. London: Sage; Albrow M. The Global Age. 1996, Cambridge: Polity Press; Connoly W. E. The Ethos of Pluralization. Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press, 1996.
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93 Amin S. Capitalism in the Age of Globalization. London: Zed Press, 1997; Benton L. From the world systems perspective to institutional world history: culture and economy in global theory («Journal ofWorld History», N 7, 1996.
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94 Callinicos A. e. a. Marxism and the New Imperialism. London: Bookmarks, 1994.
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95 Glazer N. Two Cheers for «Asian Values» («The National Interest», Fall 1999, p. 27).
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96 Keohane R., Nye J. Power and Interdependence. N. Y., 1977.
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97 Ohmae K. The Borderless World. London: Collins, 1990; Ohmae K. The End ofthe Nation State. New York: Free Press, 1995, p. 5.
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98 World Bank. World Development Report 1995.
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99 Albrow M. The Global Age. Cambridge: Polity Press, 1996, p. 85.
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100 там же, p. 243–244.
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101 Doyle M. Ways of War and Peace: Realism, Liberalism, and Socialism. New York: W.W.Norton, 1997, p. 480–481.
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102 Rosenau J. Turbulence in World politics. Brighton: Harvester Wheatsheaf, 1990; Rosenau J. Along the Domestic-Foreign Frontier. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1997; Giddens A. The Consequences of Modernity. Cambridge: Polity Press, 1990; Giddens A. Beyond Left and Right. Cambridge, 1995.
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103 Castells M. The End of Millennium. Oxford: Blackwell, 1998.
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104 Sassen S. Loosing Control? Sovereignty in an Age of Globalization. New York: Columbia University Press, 1996.
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105 Rosenau J. Along the Domestic-Foreign Frontier. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 1997, p. 4–5.
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106 Mann M. Has globalization ended the rise and rise of the nation-state («Review of International Political economy», 1997, N 4).
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107 Hoogvelt A. Globalisation and the Postcolonial World: The New Political Economy of Development. London: Macmillan, 1997.
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108 Sandel M. Democracy's Discontent. Cambridge: Harvard University Press. 1996.
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109 Keohane R. O. Hobbes' dilemma and institutional change in world politics: sovereignty in international society (Holm H. and Sorensen G. - eds. Whose World Order? Boulder: Westview Press).
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110 Falk R. World Orders, Old and New («Current History», January 1999, p. 31–33.
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111 Strange S. The Retreat of the State: The Diffusion of Power in the World Economy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1996, p. 4).
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112 Maynes Ch. W. America's Fading Commitments («World Policy Journal», Summer 1999, p. 18).
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113 Kaplan L. Meanwhile on the Left («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 153).
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114 Friedman Th. The Lexus and the Olive Tree. New York: Farrar, Straus andGiroux, 1999, p. 46.
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115 Bacevich A. Policing Utopia. The Military Imperatives of Globalization («National Interest», Summer 1999, p. 10).
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116 Mazur J. Labor's New Internationalism («Foreign Affairs», January/ Febrnaty 2000, p. 79).
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117 Clinton Bill. Remarks by the President at the United States Naval Academy Commencement, Annapolis, MD, May 22, 1998.
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118 Barber D. Jihad vs McWorld. New York: Times Books, 1995; Korton D. When Coporations Rule the World. West Hartford: Kumarian Press, 1995; Daly H. and Cobb J. For the Common Good: Redirecting the Economy toward Community, the Environment, and a Sustainable Future. Boston: Beacon Press, 1089; Buchanan P. The Great Betrayal: How American Sovereignty and Social Justice Are Being Sacrificed to the Gods of the Global Economy. New York: Little, Brown, 1998; Sir James Goldsmith. The Trap. New York: Carol! and Graf, 1994.
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119 Waltz K. Globalization and American Power («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 52.
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120 Gray J. False Dawn: The Delusions of Global Capitalism. New York, 1998, p. 16.
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121 Calleo D. The United States and the Great Powers («World Policy Journal», Fall 1999, p. 12).
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122 Weiss L. The Myth of the Powerless State: Governing the Economy in a Global Era. Cambridge: Polity Press, 1998, p. 186.
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123 Menon R., Wimbush E. Asia in the 21st Century. Power Politics Alive and Well («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 84–85).
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124 Santis De H. Mutualism. An American Strategy for the Next Century («World Policy Journal», Winter 1998/99, p. 47).
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125 Wade R. Globalization and its Limits: Reports of the Death of the National Economy are Grossly Exaggeration (Berger S., Dore R. eds. National Diversity and Global Capitalism. Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1996, p. 62).
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126 «Foreign Affairs», May/June 2000, p. 184.
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127«World Policy Journal», Fall 1999, p. 82.
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128 Menon R., Wimbush E. Asia in the 21sl Century. Power Politics Alive and Well («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 85).
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129 Lawrence R. Workers and Economists II: Resist the Binge («Foreign Affairs», March/April 1994).
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130 Weiss L. The Myth of the Powerless State: Governing the Economy in a Global Era. Cambridge: Polity Press, 1998, p. 176.
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131 Hirst P. The Global Economy: Myths and Realities («International Affairs», № 73,1997; Hirst P. and Thompson G. Globalization in Question: The International Economy and the Possibilities of Governance. Cambridge: Polity Press, 1996.
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132 Keohane R. And Nye J. Power and Interdependence in the Information Age. («Foreign Affairs», September/October 1998, p. 89).
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133 Gray J. False Dawn: The Delusions of Global Capitalism. New York: New Press, 1998, p. 4.
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134 Mathews J. Power Shift («Foreign Affairs», 1997, N 76, p. 50).
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135 Krugman P. Pop Internationalism. Boston: MIT Press, 1996.
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136 THompson G. and Allen J. Think global, then think again: economic globalization in context («Area», N 3, 1997).
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137 Broad R. and Cavanagh J. The Death of Washington Consensus? («World Policy Journal», Fall 1999, p. 86).
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138 Waltz K. Globalization and American Power («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 47).
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139 Broad R. and Cavanagh J. The Death of the Washington Consensus? («World Policy Journal», Fall 1999, p. 83).
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140 Kaplan L. Meanwhile on the Left («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 155).
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141 «World Policy Journal», Spring 1999, p. 96.
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142 «The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 152.
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143 «The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 152–153.
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144 Mazur J. Labor's New Internationalism («Foreign Affairs», January/Februaty 2000, p. 79).
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145 Gray J. False Dawn: The Delusions of Global Capitalism. New York, 1998.
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146 Heisburg F. American Hegemony? Perceptions of the US Abroad («Survival», Winter 1999–2000, p. 17).
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147 Cutter В., Spero J., Tyson L. New World, New Deal. A Democratic approach to Globalization («Foreign Affairs», March/April 2000, p. 97).
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148 Cutter В., Spero J., Tyson L. New World, New Deal. A Democratic approach to Globalization («Foreign Affairs», March/April 2000, p. 97).
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149 Bacevich A. Policing Utopia. The Military Imperatives of Globalization («National Interest», Summer 1999, p. 9).
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150 Mazur J. Labor's New Internationalism («Foreign Affairs», January/ Februaty 2000, p. 83).
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151 Runge F. and Senauer B. A Removable Feast («Foreign Affairs», May/ June 2000, p. 39).
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152 «Контуры мирового будущего. Доклад по «Проекту-2020» Национального разведывательного совета США. Вашингтон, декабрь 2004, с. 6.
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153 «Strategic Analysis», June 1999, p. 366.
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154 Modelski G., Tompson W. The Long and Short of Global Politics in the Twenty-first Century: An Evolutionary Approach («International Studies Review». Summer 1999, p. 109).
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155 Mazur J. Labor's New Internationalism («Foreign Affairs», January/ Februaty 2000, p. 84).
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156 Mazur J. Labor's New Internationalism («Foreign Affairs», January/ Februaty 2000, p. 86).
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162 Доклад по «Проекту-2020» Национального разведывательного Совета США. Вашингтон, 2004, с. 23.
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210 Paarlberg R. The Global Food Fight («Foreign Affairs», May/June 2000, p. 26).
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211 См.: Modelski G., Tompson W. The Long and Short of Global Politics in the Twenty-first Century: An Evolutionary Approach («International Studies Review». Summer 1999, N 1, p. 116).
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212 Gurr T. Ethnic Warfare on the Wane («Foreign Affairs», May/June 2000, p.63).
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225 Curr T. Ethnic Warfare on the Wane («Foreign Affairs», May/June 2000, p. 59).
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236 Rieff D. Sustaining the Unsustainable («World Policy Journal», Spring 1999, 96).
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237 Maynes Ch. W. America's Fading Commitments («World Policy Journal», Summer 1999, p. 12).
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1000
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Автор книги - Анатолий Уткин
Анатолий Иванович Уткин (4 февраля 1944 года - 19 января 2010 года) - историк, специалист в области международных отношений, признанный эксперт по внешней политике США. Особая область научных интересов - региональная политика США, в частности - в Европе; история "холодной войны".
Родился в г.Балаково Саратовской области. В 1968 году окончил исторический факультет МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова. В 1972 году защитил кандидатскую диссертацию, а в 1982 году - докторскую. С 1994 года - профессор ИППК при МГУ, затем, с 1997 года, - директор Центра международных ...